Psychohistory 101
Stock traders spend all day looking at information about civilization, and use it to make predictions (about company stocks). Nothing is “out of scope”. Any information that helps them make better predictions is fair game.
A psychohistorian does the same thing, except instead of trying to predict stocks, they are trying to predict whatever they are interested in. Some things are much easier to predict than others.
It’s EASY to predict when a new type of company is going to be created. The stock traders already know this and are trying to bet on the winning one. The psychohistorian’s job is easier: they don’t care which one wins, they just know that one of them will win (or, they make predict that the whole thing is a gold rush & will collapse as a bubble1)
How to train your psychohistory intern
A psychohistory intern can predict
Footnotes
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The best stock traders also know this, but they can still make money from short term bubbles, let someone else hold the bag ↩